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Bees Are Under Threat from Climate Change, the Trade War and Doge


Under blue skies, where low-rolling hills rise south of the Canadian border in the tiny town of Adams, N.D., a couple braves the stench of old honey, wax, smoke and bee muck.

Nancy and Keith Budke, married 43 years, are migratory beekeepers. They produce honey with the taste of canola nectar, sweet clover and other flowers that their bees pollinate first in North Dakota, then in Texas, after being hauled there by truck, and eventually in California — if the bees make it that far and if nobody snatches them.

This season, the chances of the bees making it to California were much lower. Honeybee colonies are under siege across much of North America. And the Budkes, owners and operators of Budke Bees, a small commercial beekeeping business, know it all too well. Parasites, loss of habitat, climate change and pesticides threaten to wipe out as much as 70 percent or more of the nation’s honeybee colonies this year, potentially the most devastating loss that the nation has ever seen.

“There is a shortage of bees across the entire world,” Ms. Budke said. “It’s a crazy life that we lead because we’re trying to fight so many different battles.”

At the start of their annual migratory journey last August, the Budkes had 2,900 hives. Larger operations manage 10 times as many. But the challenges faced by the Budkes in getting their bees to the plains of Texas, and then to the almond groves of California, mirror those of virtually all beekeepers.

Ms. Budke, who is also a registered nurse, nurtures the millions of tiny insects with the care of a loving pet owner, inoculating them against viruses and pests and making sure they have enough to eat.

Healthy bees mean healthy people and a healthy climate. Though most people fear the winged, golden insects with their fierce stingers, honeybees play a pivotal role in the production of about 100 crops Americans consume, pollinating the blooms on vegetable plants and fruit and nut trees.

Commercial bee businesses make most of their money pollinating fields and orchards, particularly in California, which produces 80 percent of the world’s almonds. Flatbed trucks from all corners of the country haul bees to the state’s almond groves for its pollination season, arriving from October to March. There, the Budkes and other beekeepers earn about $200 for each hive — the most profitable of prizes in the $721 million industry.

“It’s really the Super Bowl of beekeeping,” said Scott McArt, associate professor of pollinator health in the Department of Entomology at Cornell University, where he helps run the Dyce Lab for honeybee studies.

Getting there, though, has increasingly proven difficult. There are the worsening perennial problems for beekeepers, and now, this year, there are new issues emerging downstream from the rapid changes in American government.

The fate of honeybees first became a national focus after headlines in late fall 2006 and early winter 2007 screamed, “Bees Dying: Is It a Crisis or a Phase?” Since then, governments and academics have sought to solve the head-scratching mystery of vanishing bees that laid waste to much of the industry. Some years are worse than others, but there’s been a steady decline over time.

Scientists have named the phenomenon colony collapse disorder: Bees simply disappear after they fly out to forage for pollen and nectar. Illness disables their radar, preventing them from finding their way home. The queen and her brood, if they survive, remain defenseless. The precise causes remain unknown.

Bee colonies have become even more vulnerable because of the increase in extreme weather conditions, including droughts, heat waves, monster hurricanes, explosive wildfires and floods that have damaged or destroyed the bees and the vegetation they pollinate. If that was not bad enough, parasites — and other creatures that researchers refer to as “biotic” threats that prey on bees — proliferate when there is damage to ecosystems.

All that means that the U.S. beekeeping industry has contracted by about 2.9 percent over the last five years, according to data collected by IBISWorld, a research firm.

Annual loss rates have been increasing among all beekeepers over the last decade with the most significant colony collapses in commercial operations happening during the last five years.

And now, compounding the troubles for the bee industry are recent federal cuts proposed by the Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency to the Department of Agriculture, where researchers were studying ways to protect the nation’s honeybees.

These challenges coincide with big changes in federal policy. President Trump’s trade wars could raise prices for imported foods and make it more difficult for farmers to sell their crops abroad. Coupled with a lack of bee colonies, farming could become more expensive and difficult, driving up prices for many staples.

Beekeepers also often depend on immigrants to manage their hives and to help produce commercial honey. The current administration’s deportation of immigrants in the country illegally and revocation of the legal status granted to some foreigners by the Biden administration appears to be discouraging foreign workers from applying for temporary work visas.

“It was a perfect storm,” said Elina L. Niño, a professor of cooperative extension for apiculture, the study of beekeeping, at the University of California, Davis.

Mr. Budke, 70, has worked with bees since his teenage years. He was a hired hand at first. Then Ms. Budke gave him an ultimatum: If he wanted to be with her, he needed to start his own business because his boss would not let him have hives of his own.

“You want to be married to me?” Ms. Budke, 62, said she asked him. “We’re going, we’re leaving.”

So Mr. Budke quit and drove trucks for a chemical plant as Ms. Budke focused on nursing. They socked away their extra cash.

“About a year later, I wrote him out a check for his Christmas present of $30,000,” Ms. Budke said. “We saved up that much money, and I handed it to him and said, ‘There you go. Now you can be your own beekeeper.’” The initial 40 hives the couple bought in the late 1970s have grown to about 3,000. Since the major national colony collapse almost 20 years ago, Ms. Budke said, it seemed every three or four years they suffered massive losses of bees.

Last year, in August, looking over their hives in the weeks before heading from North Dakota to Texas, the Budkes appeared optimistic about the potential of a big payday in California. The state is at times a kind of Wild West for the industry, where beekeepers must register their colonies to help prevent theft by poachers.

Beekeeping isn’t glamorous. It gets sweaty beneath the thick, white jumpsuit, mesh face mask and gloves, particularly in the midday sun. And there’s the putrid smell, all of which has made the work less appealing to U.S. workers and leads the Budkes, like many beekeepers, to employ a couple of migrant workers from Nicaragua.

The Budkes distribute their hives in and around Adams, a tiny town with a population of about 130, across the state line from their home in Minnesota. North Dakota is the nation’s leading honey producer, a place where bright yellow fields of canola flowers, a favorite in beekeeping, are plentiful. The Budkes house the bees in wooden beekeeper crates, about 20 inches long and a little more than a foot wide, stacked several boxes high.

Mr. Budke and one of their sons largely manage the bees. Ms. Budke runs the business and has designated herself the queen of Budke Bees. (The queen, of course, is the center of every hive.)

A thriving population of worker bees means a healthy hive. But threats are everywhere.

One immediate danger: other hungry bees.

When the larger beekeepers remove their honey for commercial sale, their bees start looking for food and sometimes invade other colonies. (Beekeepers supplement with sugar or corn syrup, but the bees don’t like it as much, nor is it as good for them.)

“The big battle is to get the honey off before these big guys,” Mr. Budke said, as he opened the crates to view their yields. “You get this robbing going on. The other bees will come and get anything that isn’t protected.”

As the Budkes pumped smoke into the hives to calm the insects before opening the crates, hundreds of thousands of bees escaped, buzzing as if they were a massive chorus.

It was mid-August, and honey production looked good. The moneymaker, though, awaited them in California — with a roughly 18-hour trek first down Interstate 29 to Texas, where the bees spend the fall before heading to the West Coast.

The tractor-trailer pulled into Mount Pleasant, Texas, the county seat of Titus County, late one afternoon in mid-October. It’s a small cattle and hay crop town of more than 16,000 people about two hours east of Dallas by car.

Mr. Budke settled on Mount Pleasant after scouting locations across Texas for a warm, affordable place during North Dakota’s frigid winter months and before the trip to California. In Mount Pleasant, he found fields of golden rod flowers atop old coal mines with no other commercial hives competing to feed their bees.

Chris Wittrock, a 34-year-old driver for Thompson Trucking, pulled into town with the first load of hundreds of hives he hauled for the Budkes from North Dakota. (The couple drives their own car.)

The trip carries great risk. Some drivers have had hives tip over and land on the highway or on the side of the road. Heat can also harm bees when trucks stay in one place too long.

“You have to keep moving or they’ll die,” Mr. Wittrock said.

There were no disasters on this trip to Texas. Still, as the Budkes unloaded the hives from the flatbed, scores of bees hit the ground lifeless from the stress of the trip. A stowaway mouse arrived with them in the hives.

The rodent was of little concern. The greater threats are skunks and raccoons, which eat bees, and bears, which steal honey and starve the hive. (Mr. Budke sets traps for the animals and sometimes keeps raccoons for townspeople who like to eat them.)

If the bees don’t fall prey to one of those beasts, other perils await them. Chief among them are the pesticides found in the plants the bees feed on, like canola, and pests, such as the varroa mite, a parasite that attacks and feeds on the insects.

The varroa mite has been a major contributor to bee deaths; it weakens their immune systems and spreads viruses. The Environmental Protection Agency believes the pests played a role in a major colony collapse in late 2006, when large numbers of bees unexpectedly disappeared.

“If you go as a colony into winter time with high varroa mite loads, those colonies usually don’t survive,” said Ms. Niño, the University of California, Davis professor. “It is difficult to keep the colonies healthy and strong.”

Things looked good before the Budkes left their bees to hang out in Texas, returning to Minnesota for Christmas.

But weeks later, beekeepers across the country began reporting massive beehive collapses. More than half of the roughly 2.8 million colonies collapsed, costing the industry some $600 million in economic losses.

The Budkes returned to Texas and checked their hives before shipping them to California. The worst-case scenario had happened. Crate after crate turned up empty. About two-thirds of their hives collapsed, leaving just 880 for the trip to California.

“That’s what happens” with colony collapse disorder, Ms. Budke said. “They’re perfectly fine. They all look healthy as can be. You’ll come back in two weeks, and all there’s gonna be there is a queen,” since the queens stay behind in the hive while the other bees roam. “All the bees are missing.”

The impact of these losses on the California almond groves and other vegetation will not be fully known for weeks or months after pollination. The devastation to the colonies surprised the entire industry, leaving the growers scrambling to cover their pollination needs.

“This year, it was much worse than they anticipated,” said Danielle Downey, executive director of Project Apis m, a nonprofit research organization that helps support the health of bees. “In January, they started calling researchers and saying something is wrong. Many of the colonies were dead.”

The growers, Ms. Downey said, not only may have received fewer bees but also weaker ones.

In a statement, a U.S.D.A. spokesperson said that the agency “is aware of the unusual losses to our nation’s honeybee colonies and is concerned about its potential impact on food production and supply. U.S.D.A. Agricultural Research Service scientists are working closely with federal partners, stakeholders, and impacted parties to identify the source of this agricultural challenge.”

But for now, the agency will have to do its work with fewer researchers.

John Ternest, a scientist who studied pollinator health at the U.S.D.A.’s Agricultural Research Service until he was fired in February, said about 15 people involved in bee research lost their jobs at the Agricultural Research Service.

Stakeholders in the beekeeping industry are concerned that the cuts could affect investigations into the bee losses. Scientists from the U.S.D.A. collected samples of live bees in California in January to examine them for pathogens, parasites and viruses.

The timing of the colony collapses couldn’t have been worse. “We have so many crops that are going into bloom and rely on pollination right when all of this was happening — the firings, the crisis of honeybees,” Dr. Ternest said. “What kind of trickle-down effect does that have on, of course, the farmers, but potentially even things like food prices?”

In early February Andrew Beld received the Budkes’ surviving bees at a yard in Firebaugh, Calif., west of Fresno. Mr. Beld, a honeybee broker who runs Circle B Honey Farms Inc. in Hazel, S.D., connects beehives from more than 40 beekeepers with three dozen almond growers. During his peak year in 2022, he’d set 40,000 beehives. This year, it was around 18,500.

Mr. Beld has been in the business for 30 years. This season, he acknowledges, has been one of the toughest.

“Guys were having some real big issues,” Mr. Beld said. “It was definitely a major, major crash.”

After pollination, a process that takes about a month for Budkes Bees, Mr. Beld returned the surviving bees to the Budkes.

Now, the Budkes are in triage mode. To save their business, they’re rebuilding their colonies, moving babies and some adults from their remaining hives into new ones. They’ve tried to buy queens from breeders to fill the new hives, but the national colony collapse and the loss of Florida breeders from Hurricane Milton has made them scarce.

Where queens once cost the Budkes $15 or so, prices now have doubled. The Budkes wanted 2,000 of them, though, so far, they have secured just 200. They are concerned about their ability to rebuild their operation.

Faced with an uncertain future for her business, Ms. Budke has seized on pesticides as a place to focus her anger. (The U.S.D.A says the “sublethal exposure” to them is one of the biggest factors threatening honeybees.)

“We hope somebody’s gonna start listening to us,” Ms. Budke said. “You have to quit spraying your dandelions. Who cares if your lawns have a couple of flowers on it? Do you want to eat?”

Emily Anthes and Catrin Einhorn contributed reporting. Audio produced by Parin Behrooz.



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What to Know About U.S. Talks With Iran Over Its Nuclear Program

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Preliminary diplomatic talks between American and Iranian officials in Oman over Tehran’s nuclear program ended on Saturday with a handshake and with both sides describing them as constructive.

The next round of discussions, set for next Saturday, according to the officials, could lead to the first official face-to-face negotiations between the two countries under President Trump since he withdrew the United States from a landmark nuclear accord seven years ago.

Mr. Trump has often been bellicose about Iran, and has said that the country should not be allowed to acquire a nuclear bomb. The talks reflect his threats-and-wooing approach to foreign conflicts, one in which the possibility of a deal is almost always on the table and drawn-out military conflict is unappealing.

For Iran, the first round of talks with the United States went as well as could be expected. Iran can claim that two of its main conditions for taking the negotiations to the next level were achieved: Washington kept the focus on Iran’s nuclear program — at least for now — and did not mention the dismantling of its nuclear facilities or its regional policy with proxy militant groups such as Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis.

The talks were, according to a senior U.S. official with knowledge of the matter, broad and aimed at maintaining a dialogue.

And so Mr. Trump’s special envoy, Steve Witkoff, who is leading the discussions, did not suggest that Iran abandon its enrichment program entirely, the official said. Instead, the focus was on the country not weaponizing its existing material.

Mr. Witkoff has almost no foreign policy experience. But as a yearslong friend of Mr. Trump’s, he has the president’s trust, and the ability to be seen as speaking for him in a way other U.S. officials do not. He was joined this weekend by Ana Escrogima, the U.S. ambassador to Oman, for the preliminary talks with Abbas Araghchi, the Iran foreign minister, according to another White House official. Secretary of State Marco Rubio was not involved in Saturday’s talks.

In a statement, the official said that Mr. Witkoff had underscored to Mr. Araghchi that he had instructions from Mr. Trump to resolve the two nations’ differences through dialogue and diplomacy, if possible.

Mr. Araghchi and the White House official both said the talks between the two teams would resume next Saturday.

Speculation over whether the American and Iranian envoys would meet directly or indirectly was settled by doing both. The Iranian and U.S. teams sat in separate rooms for the duration of the two-and-a-half-hour negotiations, with the Omani foreign minister shuffling back and forth with written and oral messages. At the end, Mr. Witkoff and Mr. Araghchi met in person for a brief greeting as they were leaving the compound, Iran’s foreign ministry said.

“There were no sharp words used,” Mr. Araghchi told Iranian state television. “Both sides showed commitment to take these talks forward until we reach a deal that is favorable to both sides.”

Prior to the meeting, he had said the goal was to build trust and to reach an agreement on the framework and timeline for negotiations on the nuclear program. Iran had indicated that if the United States put full dismantlement of its nuclear program on the table, it would walk away from the talks.

The talks began midafternoon in Muscat, the Omani capital, which American and Iranian diplomats have used as neutral negotiating territory for years.

The two sides came in with deep distrust, given that Mr. Trump walked away from the 2015 accord that Iran had brokered with the United States and other world powers, and then imposed harsh sanctions on Tehran during his first term.

Mr. Trump now wants to strike a deal — both to showcase his negotiating skills and to keep simmering tensions between Iran and Israel from escalating into a more intense conflict that would further roil the Middle East.

“I want Iran to be a wonderful, great, happy country, but they can’t have a nuclear weapon,” he told reporters on Friday night aboard Air Force One.

Iranian officials were skeptical, but open to “a chance for an initial understanding that would mark a path for the negotiations,” Mr. Araghchi said on Saturday before the talks began.

The talks began after a contentious relationship between Mr. Trump and Iran during the 2024 presidential campaign. Last year, Iran-backed hackers targeted aides to Mr. Trump and President Joseph R. Biden Jr., officials said, succeeding with some Trump officials. Shortly after Election Day, the Justice Department announced charges against a man it said was involved in an Iranian plot to assassinate Mr. Trump. Iran denied there was such an effort.

In recent weeks, Mr. Trump sent a letter to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, saying he would rather find a way to forge a deal than escalate a military campaign. If such a deal could not be reached in the coming weeks, Mr. Trump said, Iran may face a miliary campaign against its facilities. Mr. Trump received a letter back saying the moment to talk had arrived.

The Iranian delegation had planned to convey that it was open to talking about scaling back uranium enrichment and allowing outside monitoring of its nuclear activity, according to two senior Iranian officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive matter. But they said that the negotiators were not interested in discussing the dismantlement of the nuclear program, which some Trump administration officials, including Michael Waltz, the national security adviser, have insisted on and may push Mr. Trump to consider.

Mr. Witkoff, however, has publicly suggested a different so-called red line, telling The Wall Street Journal that such a marker would be the development of a nuclear weapon. He indicated that it would not be the enrichment program itself.

At issue is the dwindling power of the original nuclear deal, which European leaders have kept limping along since 2018, when Mr. Trump withdrew the United States. The deal’s most punishing restrictions expire in October.

Known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action and completed under President Barack Obama, the accord was the result of years of painstaking and technical negotiations that lifted international sanctions against Iran in exchange for limits on its nuclear program.

Only nine countries are known to have nuclear weapons, and adding Iran to the list could pose an existential threat to its main adversary, Israel, and other nations. Experts also have raised concerns that Iran could share its nuclear capabilities with terrorist groups.

Iran has long maintained that its nuclear activities are legal and meant only for civilian purposes, like energy and medicine. But it has highly enriched uranium, beyond the levels necessary for civilian use, that can be used to make a nuclear warhead.

In the years since Mr. Trump withdrew from the nuclear accord, Iran has steadily accelerated uranium enrichment to the point where some experts estimate that it could soon build a nuclear weapon. Its economy has crumbled under American sanctions, and Mr. Trump this week imposed new measures targeting Iran’s oil trade.

Israel’s government worries that Iran will expand its nuclear program, and is pushing to destroy it.

“The deal with Iran is acceptable only if the nuclear sites are destroyed under U.S. supervision,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel said this week. “Otherwise, the military option is the only choice.”

While Mr. Araghchi was closely involved in the earlier negotiations, Mr. Witkoff has little experience in the technical aspects of Iran’s program. He arrived in Oman after a visit on Friday to St. Petersburg for talks with President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia about a potential cease-fire between Russia and Ukraine.

Iran is likely to extend diplomatic talks for as long as possible — both to delay Israeli military action and to push past an Oct. 18 deadline when the U.N.’s authority to impose quick “snapback” sanctions on Iran expires.

“They have an opportunity to tie Israel and the United States in knots by getting into negotiations in which they dupe Witkoff into thinking that negotiations will produce a lot,” said Elliott Abrams, who served as Mr. Trump’s Iran envoy during his first term. “And so the negotiations start, which holds Israel off, and they continue, and they continue.”

A new deal could be reached pretty quickly, he said. But Iran would most likely commit to little more than what it agreed to in the 2015 accord. Such an outcome would irritate Israel.

The Trump administration also has deployed an extraordinary military buildup in the area, including two aircraft carriers, additional B-2 stealth bombers and fighter jets, as well as air defenses.

Yet Mr. Trump keenly wants to avoid a new war in the region, which his advisers have warned would siphon military resources away from other potential threats, like China, and detract from his efforts to avoid foreign entanglements.

Ali Vaez, the Iran director of the International Crisis Group, said that the meeting on Saturday had been about format and scope, and that the two sides would soon delve into technical negotiations — the hard part of talks.

“This shows that Iran and the U.S. are likely on the same page with regards to the end game in these negotiations, and thus could be in the same room moving forward,” Mr. Vaez said. “If dismantling was the floor for the U.S. team, the ceiling would have collapsed on these negotiations.”

Adam Rasgon and Leily Nikounazar contributed reporting.



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