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Live Updates: Supreme Court to Hear Argument on Religious Charter Schools

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The Supreme Court will hear arguments on Wednesday over the fate of the nation’s first religious charter school, in Oklahoma, which seeks to use government money to teach a curriculum infused by Catholic doctrine.

In earlier cases from Maine and Montana, the court ruled that states that decide to create programs to help parents pay for private schools must allow them to choose religious ones. The main question in the new case is whether the First Amendment permits — or even requires — states to sponsor and finance religious charter schools, which are public schools with substantial autonomy.

The Oklahoma school, St. Isidore of Seville Catholic Virtual School, is to be operated by the Archdiocese of Oklahoma City and the Diocese of Tulsa and aims to incorporate Catholic teachings into every aspect of its activities.

A ruling in favor of the school could affect laws in 45 other states that authorize charter schools. It would also blur a line established in earlier Supreme Court cases distinguishing between government money provided to parents to spend on private schools, including religious ones, and government support provided directly to religious schools.

The dispute is the third major case dealing with religion to be argued before the justices in the space of about a month. In March, the court seemed poised to rule that a Catholic charity in Wisconsin was entitled to a tax exemption that had been denied by a state court on the grounds that the charity’s activities were not primarily religious. Last week, the court signaled that it was likely to rule that parents with religious objections may withdraw their children from classes in which storybooks with L.G.B.T.Q. themes are discussed.

After Oklahoma’s charter school board approved the proposal to open St. Isidore, the state’s attorney general, Gentner Drummond, a Republican, sued to stop it. Mr. Drummond said a religious public school would violate the First Amendment’s prohibition of government establishment of religion and the State Constitution’s ban on spending public money to support religious institutions.

He said the school crossed a line drawn by Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist in a 2002 Supreme Court decision that distinguished “between government programs that provide aid directly to religious schools” as opposed to “programs of true private choice, in which government aid reaches religious schools only as a result of the genuine and independent choices of private individuals.”

Lawyers for St. Isidore countered in a court filing that it “hopes to offer another educational option for Oklahomans, and no student will be compelled to attend St. Isidore.” They added that “the school will receive students, and state funding, only through the private choices of families.”

The school said it would welcome students of “different faiths or no faith.” It was less categorical about teachers, saying that all Oklahoma charter schools are free to adopt their own personnel policies.

The state’s Supreme Court ruled against the school, with the majority saying it would “create a slippery slope” that could lead to “the destruction of Oklahomans’ freedom to practice religion without fear of governmental intervention.”

“St. Isidore is a public charter school,” the majority said, noting that the state law allowing such schools requires them to be nonsectarian. “Under both state and federal law,” the majority ruled, “the state is not authorized to establish or fund St. Isidore.”

In the most recent decision from the U.S. Supreme Court about government support for religious schools, Carson v. Makin in 2022, the majority ruled that Maine could not exclude religious schools from a state tuition program.

But Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr., writing for the majority, said that “Maine may provide a strictly secular education in its public schools.”

In dissent, Justice Stephen G. Breyer, who retired that year, said that even Maine’s program, limited to private schools, was problematic.

“Members of minority religions, with too few adherents to establish schools, may see injustice in the fact that only those belonging to more popular religions can use state money for religious education,” Justice Breyer wrote. “Taxpayers may be upset at having to finance the propagation of religious beliefs that they do not share and with which they disagree.”

Justice Amy Coney Barrett recused herself from the Oklahoma case, Oklahoma Statewide Charter School Board v. Drummond, No. 24-394, but has not said why. She was a law professor at Notre Dame, whose religious liberty clinic represents the charter school, and is close friends with Nicole Garnett, a professor there who has assisted St. Isidore.



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U.S. Economy Shrank in First Quarter as Trump Tariffs Loomed

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President Trump’s tariffs have roiled financial markets and upended global trading patterns. Now they are disrupting measures of economic growth as well.

U.S. gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, declined at an 0.3 percent annual rate in the first three months of the year, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. It was, on the surface, a stunning reversal from the strong growth at the end of last year, when the economy expanded at a 2.4 percent rate.

But the first quarter figure was misleading, the result of quirks in the way government data measured the surge in imports as businesses and consumers raced to get ahead of expected tariffs. More reliable data on consumer spending and business investment suggested that growth slowed in the first quarter but remained fundamentally solid.

That strong foundation could be quickly eroding, however. The first quarter data showed early signs of the disruptions caused by Mr. Trump’s tariffs — and that was before the full extent of those policies became clear. Forecasters widely expect spending and investment to slow in the months ahead, as tariffs drive up prices and uncertainty keeps businesses on hold.

“There’s a lot of reasons to expect the underlying trends in the U.S. economy to soften,” said Ben Herzon, an economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Consumer spending slowed in the first quarter, growing at a 1.8 percent annual rate, down from 4 percent at the end of last year. But economists said that was at least in part because of harsh winter storms that hit southern states in January, causing many shoppers to stay home. There is little sign, so far, that the steep drop in consumer sentiment that began shortly after Mr. Trump took office has yet translated into a pullback in actual spending.

Likewise, business investment in equipment soared in the first quarter despite surveys showing that corporate leaders have become more pessimistic about the economic outlook.

Rather, the decline in G.D.P. in the first quarter was driven almost entirely by a huge increase in imports as consumers and businesses tried to front-run Mr. Trump’s tariffs. That surge shaved nearly five percentage points off G.D.P. growth in the first quarter.

To understand why the boom in imports led to a decline in G.D.P., it helps to understand a bit about how the numbers are calculated.

G.D.P., as the name suggests, is meant to measure only goods produced domestically, not imports, which are produced abroad. But rather than measure production directly, the government counts all the goods and services sold in the country, and then subtracts the ones that were made overseas. (It also adds in exports, which are produced domestically but sold to foreign buyers.)

That means that, in theory, imports neither add nor subtract from G.D.P. Anything that is imported to the country should show up elsewhere in the quarterly data either as consumer spending or as an unsold product held in inventory — both of which are counted as additions to G.D.P.

In practice, though, the government is good at counting both imports and consumer spending, but often must rely on rough estimates for inventories, especially in preliminary data. The first quarter figures showed only an increase in inventories, but not a surge on par with the growth in imports, despite anecdotal reports of companies stockpiling products and materials ahead of tariffs.

Economists predicted that the first quarter inventory figures will either be revised higher when more complete data become available or else inventories will jump next quarter, resulting in a mirror image of Wednesday’s report.

Beyond such quirks in the data, however, economists said the larger takeaway from the latest data is clear: Consumers and businesses began changing their behavior in response to Mr. Trump’s policies even before the April 2 tariff announcement that sent financial markets into a tailspin. The full effect of those policies won’t become clear for months, but economists warn that the damage could be substantial, especially if Mr. Trump continues to change his approach on a nearly daily basis as he has over the past month.

The U.S. economy has proved remarkably resilient in recent years, repeatedly defying predictions of a recession. Economists said there are still pockets of strength that could help it withstand the strains being put on it by Mr. Trump’s policies. But growth was slowing even before this year, leaving less of a cushion.

“We keep putting weight on the economy instead of lifting weight,” said Diane Swonk, chief economist for the accounting firm KPMG.



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Do CEOs Dare Risk Tariff Transparency, and Draw Trump’s Fury?

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At a rally in Michigan last night, President Trump declared that “we’re ending the inflation nightmare.” But corporate chiefs are bracing for the opposite, revealing a split-screen view of the future that has sharpened as trade uncertainty grows.

Companies have warned for weeks that tariffs could scramble supply chains, force them to tear up their financial outlooks and raise prices. (More on that below.) Yet they now face a new dilemma: Should they be transparent with shoppers about why prices are increasing, or — as Amazon learned on Tuesday — risk drawing Trump’s fury?

A recap: Trump called Jeff Bezos on Tuesday to fume over a report by Punchbowl News that the retailing giant had planned to detail how tariffs contribute to price increases. The purported move, which Amazon has denied, would have illustrated the real-world effects of the president’s trade policy, which is already hitting the Chinese e-commerce giants Temu and Shein.

Karoline Leavitt, the White House press secretary, delivered an extraordinary rebuke of Amazon during Tuesday’s news briefing, accusing the retailer of being “hostile and political.” Amazon said it had weighed such a move for Amazon Haul, its Temu competitor, but decided not to — and had never considered it for its main site.

Still, the conundrum companies face seems clear. Do they eat tariff-related cost increases and hurt their bottom line, and investors? Do they pass the higher costs onto shoppers, potentially drawing their ire?

Or do they level with consumers, and dare angering Trump?

Stifling price transparency could backfire on Trump, Paul Donovan, the chief economist for UBS Global Wealth Management, told DealBook. Without clear pricing information, Democrats and independents could argue that all price hikes — including non-tariff ones — were Trump’s fault, he said.

More important economically, levies could also give companies cover to raise prices above and beyond what new duties cost them. “If there is going to be administration hostility to identifying the price impact of trade tariffs,” Donovan added, “then we do run the risk of second-round inflation effects coming through.”

Ironically, the Trump administration has attacked what it calls price gouging. The Justice Department is investigating egg producers over rapidly rising prices, which have become a potent political symbol for inflation. And last month, Trump invited Kid Rock to the Oval Office as he signed an executive order aimed at protecting “fans from exploitative ticket scalping.” The order calls for price transparency for live events.


DEALBOOK WANTS TO HEAR FROM YOU

We’d like to know how the tariffs are affecting your business. Have you changed suppliers? Negotiated lower prices? Paused investments or hiring? Made plans to move manufacturing to the U.S.? Or have the tariffs helped your business? Please let us know what you’re doing.

Paramount’s board sets a possible path for a settlement with President Trump. Lawyers for both sides are set to begin mediation on Wednesday over the president’s $20 billion lawsuit against CBS News, related to its “60 Minutes” program. But the media company’s board has outlined financial terms for a potential accord with Trump, The Times reports. Paramount’s controlling shareholder, Shari Redstone, favors a settlement, but has said she’s recusing herself from board deliberations over such a move.

The conservative activist Robby Starbuck sues Meta over A.I. answers about him. Starbuck said that the tech giant’s artificial intelligence software falsely asserted that he participated in the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol attack. He joins a small group of plaintiffs suing Big Tech over accusations of incorrect information provided by error-prone A.I. systems.

Harvard promises changes after reports about antisemitism and Islamophobia. The university’s president, Alan Garber, listed actions the school would take to curb bigotry after long-awaited inquiries into discrimination. Many of them parallel demands by the Trump administration’s antisemitism task force. Harvard is fighting efforts by the White House to freeze billions in funding.

It’s the middle of earnings season, and companies are grappling with the uncertainty and volatility that President Trump’s trade policies have ushered in. That has led more businesses to pull their financial guidance or report hits to their operations.

Here’s what a selection of companies have been saying:

  • Adidas warned that it would raise prices for consumers in the U.S., citing Trump’s wide-ranging increase in tariffs and the sportswear giant’s inability to make “almost any of our products” in America. “Given the uncertainty around the negotiations between the U.S. and the different exporting countries, we do not know what the final tariffs will be,” the company added.

  • Snap withdrew its forecast for the current quarter, citing macroeconomic uncertainty’s potential effect on its core ad business: Brand-oriented advertising fell 3 percent in the first quarter on an annualized basis; the company also said some advertisers were being affected by the end of the de minimis exemption.

  • Stellantis suspended its guidance for the rest of the year on Wednesday, citing “tariff-related uncertainties,” following a similar move by General Motors on Tuesday. But the parent company of Chrysler, Fiat and Jeep said it was “highly engaged with policymakers on tariff policies” — perhaps borne out by Trump walking back some auto tariffs.

  • Starbucks told analysts that it was keeping an eye on a “dynamic” trade environment — it buys its beans from 28 countries, mostly from Latin America — and that its biggest exposures to tariffs were from merchandise made in China and some beverage ingredients.

  • UPS said it couldn’t update its revenue and profit forecasts for this year, citing the “current macroeconomic uncertainty.” Carol Tomé, the shipping giant’s C.E.O., told analysts that the tariff fight was affecting many of its customers, leading many to wonder, “How are we going to handle this cost increase that’s coming our way?” She added that shipping from China to the U.S. represented 11 percent of the company’s international revenue.


During President Trump’s first U.S.-China trade war in 2018, American companies flocked to Vietnam to sidestep escalating tariffs, and the country became increasingly critical to their bottom lines.

But in Trump’s escalating trade fight across the globe, Vietnam has become a new target, Grady McGregor reports for DealBook. Tensions were so high there were doubts about whether American diplomats would attend Wednesday’s events commemorating the 50th anniversary of the end of the Vietnam War.

Here’s how some U.S. businesses have come to rely on the country:

  • Nike now produces half of its shoes in Vietnam and supports nearly half a million workers.

  • Apple, via contract manufacturers, employs more than 200,000 workers at 35 facilities.

  • Firms like Intel and SpaceX have recently announced plans to expand in the country.

  • In March, Vietnam welcomed 60 U.S. firms, including Apple, Boeing and Amazon, to explore new opportunities.

That changed in April when Trump declared a 46 percent tariff on goods coming from Vietnam, some of the harshest duties imposed on any country. Trump administration hard-liners like Peter Navarro, his top trade adviser, have made Vietnam into a punching bag. They have complained about the United States’ $124 billion trade deficit with Vietnam and accused the country of being little more than a waypoint for Chinese-made goods as a way to avoid the steep tariffs.

American firms aren’t fleeing Vietnam just yet, experts say, given Trump’s whipsawing policies. Some Vietnamese manufacturers are even ramping up production to take advantage of a short-term arbitrage opportunity. But for the most part, American firms are in wait-and-see mode. “It’s absolutely impossible to make any decisions right now,” John Goyer of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, said in an interview.

But experts see major shortcomings in the Trump administration’s strategy. Trump wants to crack down on Vietnam to block shipments from China, as goods are often rerouted through Vietnam to avoid higher tariffs, known as transshipping. Trump sees it as a form of “non-tariff cheating.”

If the administration aims to cut Chinese imports, a country-by-country approach is shortsighted, according to Inu Manak, a trade policy fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. Cracking down on transshipping, for example, could lead tariff evaders to divert goods through countries like Cambodia, Thailand or Indonesia. “It just moves the problem elsewhere,” Manak said. Multilateral negotiations would be more effective in creating rules to curb the practice, she added, “but that’s just not the approach in this administration.”

China is taking advantage. President Xi Jinping of China promoted Beijing as a stable trading partner when he met Vietnam’s top leader, To Lam, in Hanoi a few weeks ago. The two sides signed 45 deals to deepen economic ties, and Xi pledged to give Vietnam greater access to its market. Xi urged Vietnam to oppose unilateral “bullying” tactics. Trump responded that To and Xi were out to “screw” America.

But Vietnam is happy to play both sides against one another. The country’s talks with China won’t stop it from cutting a deal with the U.S. “They’re amongst the most practical and strategic partners I’ve ever met, and they’re used to dealing in a transactional way,” said Daniel Kritenbrink, who previously served as U.S. ambassador to Vietnam.


For most of its existence, the alternative asset manager Mubadala Capital has had just one major shareholder: Mubadala Investment Company, a $302 billion Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund.

That changed in December as Mubadala Capital began to strike deals to bring on external backers. The firm is expected to announce another on Wednesday: a multibillion-dollar partnership with TWG Global, the conglomerate that is affiliated with the investment giant Guggenheim, Michael de la Merced is first to report.

The news: Mubadala Capital is arranging a $10 billion investment in TWG Global that includes other investors. That represents about two-thirds of the $15 billion that TWG Global’s leadership, including the billionaires Mark Walter and Thomas Tull, has hoped to raise.

At the same time, TWG Global is committing to put $2.5 billion into Mubadala Capital’s investments. It’s also buying a stake in the asset manager, with an eye to increase that backing to up to $20 billion in Mubadala Capital’s products.

The backstory: The two sides had worked together for years. When TWG Global sought to raise $15 billion to fund new initiatives — including buying out some longtime Guggenheim shareholders — it met with a small group of potential investors before deciding to go with Mubadala Capital, Walter told DealBook.

For Mubadala Capital, committing money to TWG Global opened up a variety of investment opportunities, according to Hani Barhoush, the firm’s C.E.O. TWG Global is affiliated with financial services businesses, including Guggenheim; technology, including an artificial intelligence joint venture with the data consulting giant Palantir; and sports, including the Los Angeles Dodgers, Los Angeles Lakers and the English soccer club Chelsea F.C.

It also gives Mubadala Capital more investment capital to pursue private equity, credit and venture capital opportunities. (Worth noting: Mubadala Capital led a group that owns a 68 percent stake in Fortress, the big investment firm.)

Mubadala Capital is also gaining a new minority shareholder, adding to a group that includes the C.E.O. of Silver Rock Financial, a private credit investment firm that it bought a piece of in December, and the family office of the veteran financier Michael Milken.

Bringing on external backers is meant to underscore Mubadala Capital’s business of managing money apart from its sovereign wealth fund parent. It now oversees about $30 billion in such money, much of that raised over the past seven years, Barhoush said.

“We’re making a significant bet on TWG Global,” said Oscar Fahlgren, Mubadala Capital’s chief investment officer, “and they’re making a significant bet on us.”

Deals

  • Eli Manning, the retired New York Giants quarterback, is said to plan a bid for a stake in his former team; deal makers estimate that the N.F.L. franchise could be valued at $8 billion. (Bloomberg)

  • A potential fund-raising round for Thinking Machines Lab could reportedly give Mira Murati, a founder of the artificial intelligence start-up and a former OpenAI executive, control of its board. (The Information)

Politics, policy and regulation

Best of the rest

  • Shares in Hims & Hers soared 23 percent on Tuesday after Novo Nordisk said it would offer its Wegovy weight-loss drug through the telehealth provider and a few of its rivals. (CNBC)

  • “OpenAI explains why ChatGPT became too sycophantic” (TechCrunch)

  • Who was responsible for the former college quarterback Shedeur Sanders getting drafted? The White House suggests Trump should get credit. (Politico)

We’d like your feedback! Please email thoughts and suggestions to dealbook@nytimes.com.



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Paramount Board Clears Possible Path for Settling Trump’s ‘60 Minutes’ Lawsuit

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Lawyers for President Trump and Paramount, the parent of CBS News, are set to begin mediation on Wednesday over a lawsuit brought by Mr. Trump that accuses “60 Minutes” of deceptively editing an interview with his 2024 Democratic opponent, Kamala Harris.

Legal experts have called the suit baseless and an easy victory for CBS. But Paramount is entering the talks prepared to make a deal.

In an April 18 meeting, the Paramount board outlined acceptable financial terms for a potential settlement with the president, according to three people with knowledge of the internal discussions. The exact dollar amounts remain unclear, but the board’s move clears a path for an out-of-court resolution.

Shari Redstone, the company’s controlling shareholder, has said she favors settling the case. She is set to receive a major payday in a pending sale of Paramount to a Hollywood studio, Skydance, that requires sign-off from the Trump administration. Any settlement would ultimately require the board’s approval, and Ms. Redstone has told the board that she is recusing herself from deliberations related to the lawsuit.

Paramount declined to comment.

Paramount’s interest in settling has dismayed CBS’s news division, in particular the staff of “60 Minutes,” the country’s most popular weekly news program. Four days after the April 18 board meeting, the show’s executive producer, Bill Owens, abruptly announced he would resign, citing encroachment on its journalistic independence and saying Paramount “is done with me.”

Mr. Owens’s resignation sent shock waves through the media industry, which has faced an escalating series of legal and rhetorical attacks from the president. Mr. Trump has sued television networks, threatened to rescind broadcast licenses and barred reporters at disfavored news outlets from attending some White House events.

ABC News, which is owned by the Walt Disney Company, agreed in December to pay $16 million to settle a defamation case brought by Mr. Trump that many media lawyers considered frivolous. That decision foreshadowed a series of other high-profile settlements with Mr. Trump by corporate law firms and major universities.

Inside “60 Minutes,” Mr. Owens has told confidants that he felt increasing pressure from Paramount in recent months. In January, Ms. Redstone complained to CBS executives about a “60 Minutes” segment about the war between Israel and Hamas. Afterward, a veteran CBS News executive was asked to review coming “60 Minutes” pieces that touched on the Middle East or the Trump administration.

Although no segments were canceled as a result, Mr. Owens was upset by the move. “60 Minutes” has long prided itself on an unusual degree of autonomy from the rest of CBS’s news division, and Mr. Owens told his staff that the additional layer of review could create “a really slippery slope.”

Tensions spiked again on April 13, when “60 Minutes” aired pieces on Mr. Trump’s efforts to annex Greenland and his Oval Office dust-up with Volodymyr Zelensky, the president of Ukraine. The president reacted angrily, posting on social media that “60 Minutes,” CBS and Paramount should be punished “for their unlawful and illegal behavior.”

Ms. Redstone was unsettled by that post, and she requested a briefing from George Cheeks, Paramount’s co-chief executive, about politically sensitive segments that “60 Minutes” had planned for the remainder of its season, which ends in May, according to two people with knowledge of the interaction.

Ms. Redstone expressed concern over some of those segments, and encouraged Mr. Cheeks to ensure that the news division was fair to subjects of coverage, although “60 Minutes” made no changes as a result of her remarks, the people said. Bloomberg and Semafor earlier reported on Ms. Redstone’s conversations with Paramount’s leadership.

By then, Mr. Owens had concluded that it would be untenable for him to remain at “60 Minutes” in the long term. Ms. Redstone’s inquiry about future segments prompted Mr. Owens to consider announcing his resignation sooner rather than later, in part to attract public attention and persuade Paramount executives to refrain from meddling with “60 Minutes,” the people said.

He did so in an emotional meeting last Tuesday, during which the correspondent Lesley Stahl choked up and Mr. Owens could barely get out his words. “It’s clear that I’ve become the problem — I’m the corporation’s problem,” he said, according to an audio recording. Mr. Owens lamented “having a minder” and seemed to allude to Ms. Redstone’s request. “In a million years,” he said, “the corporation didn’t know what was coming up.”

The frustration at “60 Minutes” about its corporate owners came to the surface at the end of its Sunday night telecast. In an astonishing segment, the correspondent Scott Pelley, a former anchor of “CBS Evening News” and a longtime friend of Mr. Owens, told viewers that his boss had resigned because he “felt he lost the independence that honest journalism requires.” Mr. Pelley called out Paramount by name.

Inside the show’s Midtown Manhattan offices, the worries about interference have not gone away.

This week, some “60 Minutes” producers expressed concern that corporate overseers could potentially interfere with an upcoming segment about conflicts between major law firms and the Trump administration, according to two people with knowledge of the conversations.

That segment, hosted by Mr. Pelley, could air as soon as Sunday.



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Formula 1: Collision between McLaren drivers Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri ‘inevitable’ says CEO Zak Brown | F1 News

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McLaren CEO Zak Brown feels it is “inevitable” drivers Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri will collide on the track at some stage as they push to win the F1 world championship.

Championship leader Piastri is 10 points ahead of second-placed Norris after five grands prix of the 2025 season having recorded three wins to his team-mate’s one.

Piastri and Norris – next in action at the Miami GP this weekend – are free to race, with McLaren having no designated No 1 driver.

There have been no major incidents between the pair as yet, although Brown expects that to change and is looking forward to getting a clash out of the way.

He said: “I think it’s definitely a matter of when, rather than if.

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Watch back the moments that cost Lando Norris the title lead after race five of the season

“You have two racing drivers, whether in the same team or different team, that are next to each other for 24 races, someone’s going to lock a brake…

“So I’m kind of looking forward to getting it over with because I don’t think it’s going to be anywhere near as exciting as everybody thinks.

“I think it will be a racing incident when that day comes. I think it’s inevitable.

“They’re two great characters. Neither of them are hotheads, so we’re not worried about it, and to a certain extent, kind of looking forward to just getting it out of the way.”

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Anthony Davidson takes you through all the best ways to win the Miami Grand Prix, a street circuit which saw Norris claim his maiden victory in 2024

Brundle: Brown is preventing McLaren ‘meltdown’

Sky Sports F1’s Martin Brundle says Brown’s acceptance that there will be a Piastri-Norris collision means the team will not go into “meltdown” when it does happen.

“It’s incredibly smart what they are doing,” said Brundle.

“What Zak is saying there is that ‘papaya rules’ [McLaren’s way of saying ‘keep your racing clean’] will become ‘papaya wrecks’ at some point.

Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri
Image:
Norris and Piastri have won four of the five races between them in 2025, with Verstappen the only other driver to secure a victory

“[He’s saying] ‘we’ve got two incredibly fast drivers with a potential championship-winning car and it’s going to get rough at some point’.

“What that is doing is managing down so the team doesn’t go into meltdown, the drivers, the drivers’ entourages, and indeed the media.

“What he’s saying is ‘we know it’s going to happen, we’ll manage it when it does turn up, but don’t all overreact to it’.”

Sky Sports F1’s Miami GP schedule

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Look back at some of the most dramatic moments to have taken place around the Miami International Autodrome

Thursday May 1
7pm: Drivers’ Press Conference

Friday May 2
3pm: F1 Academy Practice 1
5pm: Miami GP Practice (session starts at 5.30pm)
7.30pm: Team Bosses’ Press Conference
8.15pm: F1 Academy Practice 2
9.05pm: Miami GP Sprint Qualifying (session starts at 9.30pm)

Saturday May 3
3.20pm: F1 Academy Qualifying
4pm: MIAMI GP SPRINT (race starts at 5pm)
6.30pm: Ted’s Sprint Notebook
7.50pm: F1 Academy Race 1
8.35pm: Miami GP Qualifying build-up
9pm: MIAMI GP QUALIFYING*
11pm: Ted’s Qualifying Notebook*

Sunday May 4
6pm: F1 Academy Race 2
7.30pm: Grand Prix Sunday: Miami GP build-up*
9pm: The MIAMI GRAND PRIX*
11pm: Chequered Flag: Miami GP reaction*
Midnight: Ted’s Notebook

*also live on Sky Sports Main Event

Formula 1 heads to Miami for a Sprint weekend, live on Sky Sports F1. Stream Sky Sports with NOW – no contract, cancel anytime



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Trump’s Cuts to Science Funding Could Hurt U.S. Economy, Study Shows

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Cutting federal funding for scientific research could cause long-run economic damage equivalent to a major recession, according to a new study from researchers at American University.

In recent months, the Trump administration has sought to cancel or freeze billions of dollars in grants to scientists at Columbia, Harvard and other universities, and has moved to sharply curtail funding for academic medical centers and other institutions. Deeper cuts could be on the way. As soon as this week, the White House is expected to propose sharp reductions in discretionary spending, including on research and development, as part of the annual budget process.

Economists have warned that such cuts could undermine American competitiveness in areas like vaccine development, artificial intelligence and quantum computing, and could slow growth in income and productivity in the long term. The private sector can’t fully replace government dollars, they argue, because basic research is too risky and takes too long to pay off to attract sufficient private investment.

The study, by a team of economists at American University’s Institute for Macroeconomic and Policy Analysis, is among the first efforts to quantify the risks posed by Mr. Trump’s cuts. Because the full extent of the administration’s plans is not yet clear, the researchers studied a range of scenarios.

Even the mildest approach — a 25 percent reduction in public support for research and development — would correlate to a drop in economic output.

U.S. gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, would be 3.8 percent smaller in the long term — a decline similar in magnitude to that in the Great Recession, which ended in 2009. The drop in output would be much more gradual than that downturn, taking place over years rather than months. But it would also be more lasting. Cuts to scientific research would sap innovation, leading to slower productivity growth and, as a result, permanently lower economic output.

“It is going to be a decline forever,” said Ignacio González, one of the study’s authors. “The U.S. economy is going to be smaller.”

A smaller economy also means less income for the government to tax. As a result, while cutting investment could save money in the short run, it could leave the federal budget in worse shape over the longer term. The researchers estimate that a 25 percent cut to research funding would reduce government revenues 4.3 percent in the long term.

Larger funding cuts would have even greater effects. A 50 percent reduction in funding would lower gross domestic product nearly 7.6 percent, the researchers estimate, and a 75 percent cut would reduce it 11.3 percent — a larger decline than in any recession since the Great Depression.

Such estimates might seem extreme, but they are consistent with other research. A recent paper published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas found that government investments in research and development accounted for at least a fifth of U.S. productivity growth since World War II.

“If you look at a long period of time, a lot of our increase in living standards seems to be coming from public investment in scientific research,” said Andrew Fieldhouse, a Texas A&M economist and an author of the Dallas Fed study. “The rates of return are just really high.”

Political leaders in earlier eras appeared to recognize that payoff. In another recent study, Mr. Fieldhouse found that past efforts to cut the federal budget largely spared investments in nondefense research and development.

In recent weeks, scientists and higher education leaders have tried to rally support among the public and in Congress for continued federal funding. On Tuesday, the Science Coalition, a group of public and private research universities, released a report on the role of federal funding in promoting economic growth. The report highlighted examples of private companies that grew out of government-backed university research.

“Research that’s happening at one university, it doesn’t just stay in those walls — it has a ripple effect,” said Abigail Robbins, president of the coalition. “This is not a blue or red state issue. It transcends that.”



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How to Protect Your Phone While Traveling Abroad

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When I travel to Asia this summer, I plan to leave my iPhone at home. Instead, I’ll pack a different phone lacking my staple apps, like Instagram, Slack and Signal. It won’t even be logged in to my work email.

No, I’m not planning a digital detox. I’m choosing to travel with what’s known as a burner phone because my personal device contains sensitive data that I don’t want others, particularly U.S. border protection officers, to search.

For over a decade, the federal government has had the authority to conduct border searches of travelers’ personal electronics, including phones, laptops and tablets. In recent years, such inspections have steadily increased, though they happen to only a small portion of people entering the United States.

Last year, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection agency reported that it had conducted roughly 43,000 electronics searches, up from about 38,000 in 2023.

To be clear, I may be particularly paranoid as a journalist who is constantly working to protect confidential sources from being outed, so a burner phone is an extreme measure that most people won’t find practical or even necessary.

But in recent incidents, travelers have been denied entry into the United States in part because of phone data, such as photos of guns and social media posts about protests.

“The bigger concern is that the government can single out people it wants to search,” said Esha Bhandari, a lawyer with the American Civil Liberties Union. “We’ve seen anecdotal evidence of more aggressive searches on the border, including lawyers who have attorney-client privileges and people seen as dissidents.”

In other words, while no rules have changed when it comes to entering the United States, a shift in how frequently the policies are enforced may be underway. Vacationers and business travelers alike should be judicious about the data they carry on their devices.

There’s no one-size-fits-all solution, and the approach that works best for you depends on your lifestyle and profession. Here’s what to do.

First consider who you are, what you do for work and what’s on your phone, laptop or tablet, said Jeremiah Grossman, a cybersecurity expert.

If, for instance, you’re a retired U.S. citizen carrying some vacation photos and text conversations with friends from your book club on your device, you probably don’t have to worry. But if you’re a student on a visa who has been involved in government protests, there may be media on your phone that could create issues.

“If law enforcement had everything on your phone and access to everything, would that be bad for you?” Mr. Grossman said.

From there, assess whether your risk is high or low and pick an approach.

If you’re only mildly concerned about your data being searched, start with turning off biometrics such as fingerprint and face recognition sensors. Instead, rely only on a passcode for unlocking your device.

To turn off Face ID on an iPhone, open the settings app, tap Face ID & Passcode, enter your passcode and toggle off the switch for iPhone Unlock.

For Android phones, the steps depend on the model, but generally in the settings app you can type a search for the Face & Fingerprint Unlock menu and disable the settings there.

Using only a passcode can be an effective measure for U.S. citizens because it is legally more difficult for the government to compel you to share a passcode than it is for an officer to take your phone and hold it up to your face to unlock it, Ms. Bhandari said.

But while citizens can decline to provide a passcode, visa holders and tourists visiting the United States run the risk of being denied entry if they refuse to comply, Ms. Bhandari added. So it’s best to also take the extra step of deleting any apps containing information that could become problematic, such as Instagram, Signal or X.

If you think there’s a modest possibility that the government could search your phone, consider backing up a copy of all your data and purging your device before returning to the United States, Mr. Grossman said.

To make this process simpler, you can back up your data to an online server, such as Apple’s iCloud for iPhones or Google One for Android devices. That way, you can later restore your data over the internet by entering your account credentials.

To back up your data on an iPhone to iCloud, open the settings app, tap your name, tap iCloud and select iCloud Backup. Switch on Back Up This iPhone and tap Back Up Now. Then, to purge your iPhone data, in the settings app go to the General menu, tap Transfer or Reset iPhone, tap Erase All Content and Settings and follow the steps.

To back up your data on an Android device to Google One, open the settings app, tap Google, then tap Backup. To purge your Android data, the steps depend on your phone model, but generally you can do a search for the Factory Reset menu in the settings app.

After you cross the border with the wiped device, you will see an option to restore the device from a backup when you go to set it up, at which point you can enter your account credentials to get your data back. (Just make sure to have your password written down somewhere.)

If you think it’s very likely that U.S. border officials will want to look at your phone, the most robust solution is to leave your personal devices at home and carry a burner phone used exclusively for travel.

Here’s how I plan to do it.

  • I’ll carry a cheap Android phone with only the software necessary for my trip, including ride-hailing and maps apps.

  • I’ll log in to one email account I created exclusively for travel to retrieve itineraries and other trip-related information.

  • When I land, I’ll connect to a temporary cellular plan on a foreign network using an eSIM, a digitized version of a SIM card, which can be activated through an app such as Nomad, Airalo or GigSky. (I wrote a guide to using eSIM technology in a previous column.)

Then, when I return home, I’ll copy all my vacation photos from the vacation phone to my iPhone and put the burner in a drawer until my next trip.



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As Trump Cuts Foreign Aid, What Does It Mean for the Gates Foundation?

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On Dec. 27, Bill Gates, the billionaire philanthropist, made a trip to Mar-a-Lago for dinner with Donald J. Trump. Some people around him were surprised that he had decided to go, but Mr. Gates wants to talk to whoever will listen.

The dinner lasted three hours, and Mr. Trump seemed to enjoy himself, a person close to him said. They talked about polio — an interest of both men — and Mr. Gates left the meeting “frankly impressed” by the incoming president’s interest in global health.

Or so he told The Wall Street Journal. His comments, which he reiterated to some friends, did not age well. Less than a month after the Mar-a-Lago dinner, Mr. Trump was inaugurated and immediately went to work tearing down the global health infrastructure that undergirds the work of Mr. Gates’s foundation.

Next week, the Gates Foundation, marking its 25th anniversary, plans to celebrate its achievements, including helping to cut global child mortality in half since 2000. At what should be a moment of self-congratulation, however, the foundation, which gives away $9 billion each year, is facing grave threats to both its work and its future.

Two days after Mr. Trump froze all U.S. foreign assistance, Elon Musk began to dismantle the United States Agency for International Development, which delivers aid around the world — including vaccines, treatments and technologies created in labs bankrolled by the Gates Foundation.

At the same time, the Trump administration has been on a campaign of retribution against institutions — universities, big law firms — that it perceives as too liberal. Philanthropies have been on edge, assuming they will be the next target of his ire. They are concerned that the president will use his law enforcement agencies to paralyze charitable institutions through investigations. And they fear a challenge to their tax-exempt status — a threat that Mr. Trump made explicitly against Harvard University when it refused to bend to his demands.

At the risk-averse Gates Foundation, officials have asked aides to put next to nothing in emails or other written materials, especially anything that Trump officials could take out of context. Some employees have locked down public social media accounts and shifted much of their work to Telegram or Signal, encrypted messaging apps. (Alex Reid, a spokeswoman for the foundation, said employees had always been encouraged to be careful about communications.)

The cautious partnership that Mr. Gates tried to initiate at Mar-a-Lago flamed out, but he has continued to make his case. He has met with the White House chief of staff, several cabinet secretaries, the National Security Council and members of Congress.

“It’s a very wide tent of champions that we are trying to enlist,” Mark Suzman, the foundation’s chief executive, said in an interview.

Mr. Gates hoped to find an ally in Secretary of State Marco Rubio, a vocal champion of efforts to fight malaria and child poverty in the past. But Mr. Rubio, who oversees foreign assistance, has declined to meet or speak with Mr. Gates since the election, the foundation said.

This article is based on interviews with two dozen friends and advisers of Mr. Gates, current and former Gates Foundation employees and their associates, and foundation grant recipients, most of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a powerful foundation.

The changes in Washington’s approach have left Mr. Gates at sea, say current foundation employees and others who have talked with him. People who know him describe Mr. Gates as data-driven, sometimes to a fault, and they say he has struggled to align the apparent new rules of the game with the way he sees the world.

“In my experience, Bill is a rational thinker who wants to optimize for lives saved, so this chaotic world where people are acting off of spitefulness and vengeance is at odds with that,” said Orin Levine, a former director of vaccine delivery at the foundation. “To be shellshocked and in this completely foreign environment is a double whammy.”

The foundation, which is based in Seattle, was started by Mr. Gates and his former wife, Melinda French Gates. They ran it together until their divorce in 2021. The nation’s biggest philanthropy, it has a $75 billion endowment. It employs more than 2,000 people and has offices around the developing world that can rival the power of the governments where they operate.

As big as it is, it can’t operate on its own. It doesn’t deliver services directly, but funds the development of strategies and technologies and then works with governments, aid agencies and the private sector to disseminate them.

The dismantling of U.S.A.I.D. was the first gut punch, but not the last. Deep cuts at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and at the National Institutes of Health followed. Both were major funders of global health. Most of the architecture of U.S.-funded global health care has been either radically diminished or destroyed.

Programs that have been Mr. Gates’s priorities for decades were wiped out: vaccine research for malaria; deliveries of therapeutic food packets developed by the foundation to malnourished children; and African programs to deliver H.I.V. prevention technologies that the foundation helped invent.

One particularly harsh blow was the Trump administration’s decision to end support for Gavi, an organization that helps the poorest countries buy childhood immunizations. Mr. Gates was Gavi’s co-creator, and at times his foundation has been its largest funder.

The news that the United States might withdraw from Gavi produced the foundation’s most pointed response since the Trump administration began cutting foreign aid. On X, Mr. Suzman, the chief executive, said he was “deeply disturbed” by the news, “if true.” The wording of that post, which went on to suggest the dire consequences of cuts, was debated intensely beforehand by advisers, according to a person who was involved.

The foundation has always been measured in its public statements, but it has labored to be as politically neutral as possible since Mr. Trump won the election, people close to it say. Some employees and allies have expressed frustration that Mr. Gates and the organization that leads much of the world’s global health work have been muted in their response to what the employees see as a catastrophic level of cuts. Other than the post on X, Mr. Suzman has made a few careful statements related to Trump administration actions, such as the value of the World Health Organization and reproductive health care.

For people now in Trump’s inner circle, the Gates Foundation has been a popular punching bag. When Vice President JD Vance was running for the Senate in 2021, he called the Gates Foundation, the Ford Foundation and the Harvard endowment “cancers on American society” because they received tax-exempt status to fund what he said was “radical left-wing ideology.” Stephen Miller, Mr. Trump’s powerful policy adviser, has attacked the foundation’s focus on racial equity and funding “the most hateful, toxic and Marxist ideologies.”

And then there is Mr. Musk. The richest man in the world, he once signed the Giving Pledge, a Gates-operated philanthropic commitment. Now he taunts Mr. Gates on X, and has called his climate philanthropy hypocritical because he believes Mr. Gates has shorted the stock of Tesla, the electric automaker that Mr. Musk runs.

As head of such a large and influential foundation, Mr. Gates is greeted around the world as a head of state might be, and has held himself out as assiduously nonpolitical. That changed in 2024 when he made a $50 million donation to support Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign.

After Mr. Trump was elected, Mr. Gates set out to make amends. In private conversations, according to a person who has heard him, Mr. Trump has name-checked Mr. Gates when he recalls the tech billionaires who used to despise him and now, as Mr. Trump says, want to be his friend.

Still, the administration has monitored and been briefed on the Gates Foundation’s ties to a liberal donor network called Arabella Advisors, a person close to the White House said.

Mr. Suzman has told friends that he believes the Trump administration would target the foundation in various ways, primarily by stripping its tax-exempt status, two people who have spoken with him said.

The foundation’s work, Mr. Suzman said in an interview, is nonpartisan. “What we work on — saving kids from preventable deaths, trying to halt infectious diseases, providing opportunities for the poorest and most vulnerable — is the absolute core of what charitable status exists to provide for,” he said.

Federal law bars the president from using the Internal Revenue Service to punish his enemies, but outside conservative groups are testing the waters. Edward Blum, who has made a career of challenging affirmative action, filed a complaint with the I.R.S. against the Gates Foundation. He claimed that a fellowship program for students of color amounted to “invidious racial discrimination” that made the foundation “ineligible for tax-exempt status.”

In fact, the foundation had changed the fellowship admissions policy months earlier, Ms. Reid, the spokeswoman, said.

But the foundation did not make the change public until it was asked for comment on an opinion piece by Mr. Blum that The Wall Street Journal had published. The way it came out looked like caving, and was portrayed that way in right-wing media.

Philanthropy leaders are also nervous about an executive order in January that directed the attorney general to identify institutions, including “foundations with assets of $500 million or more” that could be investigated for their diversity, equity and inclusion programs.

The Gates Foundation, like other corporations and institutions, has taken steps to de-emphasize its D.E.I. work. It laid off several members of its diversity team and retired the title of chief diversity, equity and inclusion officer. In a public appearance in February, Mr. Gates said D.E.I. initiatives had sometimes “gone too far.”

The potential consequences of a significant disruption of the foundation’s work are immense — with the United States withdrawing from the World Health Organization, for example, the foundation is now the body’s largest funder. Hundreds of scientists, aid groups and government ministers have turned to the foundation with panicked requests for help to preserve research and programs since the disruptions began in January. It is increasingly viewed as the last actor with both the resources and commitment to help.

Mr. Suzman said the foundation’s priority advocacy effort was preservation of U.S. funding for Gavi and for the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, a major organization funded by governments, philanthropies and the private sector. He also said the foundation had committed an initial $30 million for countries in Africa and Asia for efforts to assess the holes left by the U.S.A.I.D. cuts and to plan to restructure essential services.

But Mr. Suzman acknowledged that the foundation would have to adapt, now that the world’s largest aid agency had been gutted and other high-income nations were also reducing aid.

In planning sessions around the election, foundation leaders tossed out various ways that Mr. Trump could change global aid. When the idea of a gutted U.S.A.I.D. was suggested, it was dismissed as too sensational, two people with knowledge of those sessions said. Instead, the foundation’s planning focused on a U.S. withdrawal from the W.H.O. and a slashing of support for contraception and other reproductive health care.

Mr. Suzman said the foundation had tried to anticipate what the new government might bring, but did not foresee the scale of the change. A senior strategist for the foundation confessed to a former colleague that they had a failure of imagination.

At a TED conference this month in Vancouver, British Columbia, Mr. Gates’s foundation passed out lapel buttons emblazoned with a buzzword of his philanthropy. But it is one that feels discordant with the landscape the foundation faces: “Optimistic.”



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Geordie Sam Luckley ready for dream return to Newcastle’s St James’ Park for Magic Weekend with Hull KR flying high | Rugby League News

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With Super League’s Magic Weekend returning to Newcastle for 2025, there is no player as happy as Hull KR’s resident Geordie Sam Luckley.

Luckley lived out his dream in 2022, scoring for Salford Red Devils under the sticks at St James’ Park and giving it the full Alan Shearer celebration.

It was a moment that Luckley never thought he would get when growing up in his home city watching Newcastle United, but one he took with both hands when it arrived.

After a year in Leeds, Magic Weekend returns to Newcastle for a record eighth time and Luckley is ready to relive “one of the best days of his life” if he can score when Hull KR take on Salford Red Devils, live on Sky Sports on Saturday May 3.

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Sam Luckley celebrated his try at St James’ Park with a nod to Newcastle great Alan Shearer!

“I am (delighted to be back in Newcastle). I am absolutely buzzing,” Luckley told Sky Sports.

“It was my childhood dream to play here at St James’ Park and I have been lucky enough to do it quite a few times now.

“Every time just gets better and better and I have had this marked on my calendar for quite some time.

“I reckon that was one of the best days of my life. I nicked the match ball as well and gave it to my mum and told her to take it home and it is in my cabinet.

“Scoring that then after the game coming down to see my family and everybody is crying. It means more than just to myself.

Magic Weekend fixtures 2025- all exclusively live on Sky Sports

May 3
Leigh Leopards vs Catalans Dragons (3pm)
Hull KR vs Salford Red Devils (5.15pm)
St Helens vs Leeds Rhinos (7.30pm)
May 4
Huddersfield Giants vs Hull FC (1pm)
Wigan Warriors vs Warrington Wolves (3.15pm)
Castleford Tigers vs Wakefield Trinity (5.30pm)

“My mum and dad are Geordies and they come to the football all the time so it is one for us all really.

“I was actually a canny good footballer but I just kept getting bigger and slower so I am glad I can play here in a different sport but I never would have guessed it would be rugby league.”

While the trip to Newcastle is a landmark weekend in Luckley’s calendar, with Hull KR top of the table and not looking like slowing down, he knows all eyes will be on the job at hand when the weekend rolls around.

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Watch the pick of the tries from an exhilarating Magic Weekend in Super League the last time we headed to Newcastle

“We are doing well at the minute. But for us, it is just about staying humble and keeping our feet on the ground,” Luckley added.

“It is a long season and it is a long year so we cannot overthink it and start thinking about finals and all that kind of stuff.

“The ladder is so tight at the minute as well, every game is competitive.

“For us, this is a professional job and a business trip. We need to come up here and perform and build on the performances we have had over the last couple of weeks.

“That is what we will be looking to do.”


Live Betfred Super League


Saturday 3rd May 5:00pm


Round 10 – MAGIC WEEKEND

Saturday May 3 – all exclusively live on Sky Sports

Leigh vs Catalans – 3pm
Hull KR vs Salford – 5.15pm
St Helens vs Leeds – 7.30pm

Sunday May 4 – all exclusively live on Sky Sports

Huddersfield vs Hull FC – 1pm
Wigan vs Warrington – 3.15pm
Castleford vs Wakefield – 5.30pm

Sky Sports will again show every game of Super League live this season – including two matches in each round exclusively live, with the remaining four matches each week shown on Sky Sports+ via the red button.



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Trump Administration to Use Federal Lands for Affordable Housing

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During his presidential campaign, Donald J. Trump pledged to quickly bring down prices for American households, including making housing more affordable.

“We’re going to open up tracts of federal land for housing construction,” Mr. Trump said in August. “We desperately need housing for people who can’t afford what’s going on now.”

The Trump administration is now trying to follow through on that promise. Last month, federal officials created a task force that would identify and release federal land that could be used for housing development.

The announcement is the first major initiative the Trump administration has rolled out to address the nation’s affordable housing crisis. It is an idea that has bipartisan support. Both Mr. Trump and Kamala Harris, the former vice president and Democratic nominee for president, have supported efforts to build affordable housing on certain federal lands.

Housing developers and researchers say the idea of making more federal land available for housing development holds some promise for Western states like Nevada and California, where the bulk of federal land is. But the initiative would do little to increase housing supply in other parts of the country where residents also struggle with high shelter costs, such as New York and Miami.

Other challenges also exist before any housing can be built. Most of the federal government’s land lacks the necessary water and sewer infrastructure to support residential communities. Environmental groups have also voiced concern over the administration’s intent to sell public land because of its potential effect on wildlife habitat.

As part of the effort, the Interior Department will identify locations that can support homes and aim to reduce regulatory barriers involved with transferring or leasing land to local governments or public housing authorities. The Housing and Urban Development Department will also “pinpoint where housing needs are most pressing” and ensure that projects “align with affordability goals.”

Federal officials have estimated that 400,000 acres of federal land could potentially be made available for housing development, said Jon Raby, the acting director of the Bureau of Land Management. The estimate, which will continue to be refined, was determined after officials looked at land within 10 miles of cities and towns with a population of 5,000 or more, he said.

The effort could be most impactful in states like California, New Mexico, Nevada, Arizona, Wyoming, Oregon, Idaho and Colorado, Mr. Raby said. Officials said the lands vary widely and range from deserts and grasslands to mountains and forests. The lands are generally uneconomical or difficult to manage because of their scattered or isolated nature and “must meet specific public interest objectives.”

In addition to the water, power and sewer systems that would need to be built, federal officials may have to contend with groups that believe that certain areas have higher habitat or conservation value. Mr. Raby said that the areas that officials were looking at generally had lower conservation value, but that the Bureau of Land Management would carefully review concerns.

“People love their public lands,” Mr. Raby said. “Every acre is important to somebody.”

The Bureau of Land Management will evaluate applications from interested parties, such as state or local governments, that request specific land to be sold. The agency will then assess any existing use of the land, and perform an environmental review and appraisal. Officials could then either lease the land or sell it at fair market value, according to the agency.

Some analyses have found that releasing more federal land could result in the construction of millions of new homes. Selling about 544,000 acres of developable land — or about 0.2 percent of the land that the Bureau of Land Management oversees — could result in the construction of 1.5 million new homes on land near existing cities over the next decade, according to a recent analysis from Edward Pinto, a senior fellow at the conservative American Enterprise Institute. Another 1.5 million homes could be built over the next five decades if new cities are developed near existing metropolitan areas, the analysis found.

David Garcia, the policy director at Up for Growth, a Washington-based research group focused on the housing shortage, said he thought the initiative had “huge potential.”

“A lot of times when we think about federal land, we think about national parks or forestland or military bases, but there is a lot more land in urbanized areas than I think people realize,” Mr. Garcia said.

Still, he said the process of releasing federal land could take years because of stringent procedures, and the federal effort alone would not be enough to make up the nation’s entire shortfall of homes. Freddie Mac, the mortgage finance giant, has estimated that the nation is short about 3.7 million housing units.

Jim Tobin, the president and chief executive of the National Association of Home Builders, said he was optimistic that making more federal land available for development could boost housing supply in some of the fastest-growing markets in the country, such as Las Vegas and Phoenix.

“Any land that we can make available would help in those markets in particular, and then you have the ability to continue to push the suburbs out,” Mr. Tobin said.

But Mr. Tobin said the initiative could run into challenges because of local NIMBYism, or the “not in my backyard” attitude that impedes housing construction because some residents fight new development in their neighborhoods. “People just don’t like changes to where they live,” he said.

Federal officials say the new national initiative could replicate efforts that have already been done in Nevada. A 1998 law pushed by Harry Reid, who was a senator from Nevada at the time, allowed the Bureau of Land Management to sell certain public land within the state for purposes like housing construction. So far, the agency has sold about 50 acres of federal land specifically for the construction of about 1,060 affordable housing units in the state.

But some environmental groups have already expressed concern over how the effort could affect public land. Athan Manuel, the director of the Sierra Club’s Lands Protection Program, said that he was open to efforts to build more affordable housing on some land that is close to developed communities, but that he was deeply skeptical of the Trump administration’s effort. He said he worried that new development could “trample wildlife habitat” and that the public could lose land used for recreation.

“We think this is just a backhanded way of privatizing federal land,” Mr. Manuel said. “We’re going to assume the worst from this administration until proven wrong.”

Some advocates said they were skeptical of the administration’s attempt to address affordable housing because officials are also eyeing deep cuts to the housing department as part of a broader effort to shrink the federal government.

Kim Johnson, a public policy manager at the National Low Income Housing Coalition, said building more housing on public land could make a big difference for certain Western states. But she said she was also concerned about the Trump administration’s potentially “decimating” the housing department’s work force and cutting federal resources that could help address the affordable housing crisis.

Ms. Johnson said she also wanted to see administration officials provide more details about how they would ensure that housing built on federal land would be affordable. “The question is always: How affordable, and affordable to whom?” Ms. Johnson said.

Kasey Lovett, a spokeswoman for the Housing and Urban Development Department, said that “any efforts to streamline the department’s processes and programs will help to make HUD more successful in its mission, including addressing our nation’s affordable housing crisis.”

Some homebuilder groups said they were optimistic about the effort. Dan Dunmoyer, the president of the California Building Industry Association, said the biggest challenge facing homebuilders in the state was a shortage of land that was both affordable and suitable for housing development.

Mr. Dunmoyer said efforts to release more federal land could help spur housing development in California, given that the federal government owns about half of the land in the state.

“Land is hard to find,” he said. “If there is land that’s adjacent to urban cores that’s available, that would be of interest to us.”



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